Some off the cuff thoughts to your question.
1) watchmaking is a bit of lost art (which you have highlighted) - the old school watchmakers are now either retired or about to retire. There are less next generation watchmakers replacing them - its not a particular "sexy" job - wearing a loupe in white lab coats and frankly, I don't think many make fantastic money.
2) many that have trained and work for brands or boutiques won't really touch replicas and its for a number of valid reasons. a) they don't want to be associated with replicas in fear of contaminating their legitimate careers, b) replicas are inferior in quality so often dont want to stand behind the work (can't blame them).
So what does that mean? it means its hard to attract more watchmakers in this hobby of ours. Both Tongsui and I (and the other international watch makers on this board) have been in this hobby for a while now (look at when I joined!) so I've seen my fair share of replicas which includes understanding the common flaws and work arounds behind them. This is actually super important because when you give your replica to John Smith at the local mall, he will have limited knowledge and hence many would also turn you away.
Ultimately, its a niche market so it'll unlikely to be oversupplied with watchmakers but at the same time, the addressable market is also small and transient. People join this board, buy a few reps then leave so while there are alot of members here, the number of active members are far less.
Very, very well said. I am lucky enough to have been interested in jewelry repair at the young age of 15, and was able to get a work permit from school and “apprentice” at a local jeweler that’s been in my area for decades. He doesn’t bat an eye when I bring in a rep and several friends use him as well….as a matter of fact, he’s stunned at the quality levels they’ve achieved as of late! He even built himself a franken Breguet with inlaid rubies which is exquisite.
Watching him work with a loupe or even under a microscope is what led me to discover the magnificence of mechanical watches. I was so intrigued; I was also just building my first car, and to me, it was like wearing a tiny engine on the wrist.
My passion for building, modifying, and repairing automobiles overshadows most other aspects of my life, so I assume there’s people out there just as crazy about the watchsmith world.
Unfortunately, my jeweler’s tools and machinery are limited, as well as his knowledge, but it is wonderful to even know one other that understands reps, and has some skills to boot.
It will be very interesting to see what this hobby evolves into over the next decade.