My vote is for REPLICA
1) The dial marker at 12 o'clock does not line up to the minute marker (as described above)
2) Dead giveaway is the misalinged date wheel. Tudor would not allow this out the door
3) Hour marker (especially at 11 o'clock does not line up)
4) The stencil on the dial is too thin
5) The bezel font is too thin (as mentioned above)