...."South Africa also has the highest reported occurrence of rape in the world."
I'd be more concerned about protecting your ass then your watch.
If your arm looks like this, you should be OK...
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I'm from South Africa and I wear my reps happily. Never been mugged or robbed. I suggest you research the areas you will be travelling in. You can get robbed any where, wrong place at the wrong time.
I have worn high end reps in a lot of "high risk" places like Colombia, Venezuela, Kenya, Tanzania, Colon Panama, as long as you just take it off when going into the "rough places" it is not a big risk but if you are not so good at judging what places and events you should take all things off before entering you should leave it at home.
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So, he went to SA, wore a Rolex and never returned? He should have listened...